S&P 500 Hits Record High in USD, But Falls Sharply Against Bitcoin

     

Bitcoin Outperforms U.S. Equities, With S&P 500 Down 15% in BTC Terms for 2025

The S&P 500 Index has reached a new all-time high in dollar terms, closing at 6,280.46 on Thursday and extending its year-to-date gain to 7%. However, when measured in Bitcoin, the benchmark U.S. stock index is down 15% in 2025 — highlighting Bitcoin’s dominant performance in the current macro environment.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, citing data from Bitbo, the S&P 500 has declined a staggering 99.98% against Bitcoin since 2012. Despite its recent rally, traditional equities remain far behind digital assets in terms of long-term returns.

 

Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Source: The Kobeissi Letter

 

Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high above $118,800 on Friday, with the cryptocurrency gaining 5.5% over the past 24 hours, 9% over the last week, and 24% year-to-date, according to Cointelegraph Markets Pro.

Bitcoin’s decade-long performance has also outpaced major tech stocks like Nvidia, Tesla, and Netflix. Analyst Charlie Bilello emphasized BTC’s remarkable rise as the best-performing asset class over the past ten years.

 

Source: Charlie Bilello
Source: Charlie Bilello

 

Institutional Capital Shifts From Stocks to Bitcoin ETFs

Bitcoin’s 2025 rally has been driven largely by institutional inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have rapidly become one of the fastest-growing asset classes in global markets.

As of Friday, U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs held a combined 1,264,976 BTC worth over $148 billion — accounting for more than 6% of Bitcoin’s total supply.

According to State Street data, digital asset ETFs are now the third-largest category by inflows this year, trailing only short-term government debt and gold.

 

Although State Street’s inflow data refers broadly to “digital assets,” Bitcoin funds have accounted for the vast majority of ETF investment dollars in the United States. Source: State Street
Although State Street’s inflow data refers broadly to “digital assets,” Bitcoin funds have accounted for the vast majority of ETF investment dollars in the United States. Source: State Street

 

On Thursday, Bitcoin ETFs recorded their second-highest single-day inflow ever, bringing in $1.17 billion, further confirming institutional appetite for BTC over traditional equities.

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